Things just got worse for Kamala.
Recent polling from the Atlanta Journal-Constitution suggests that Vice President Kamala Harris is struggling to connect with male voters, a critical demographic that could jeopardize her chances in Georgia, a key southern battleground with 16 electoral votes. The University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs surveyed 1,000 likely voters, revealing a stark divide in support: only 28% of men favor Harris, while a commanding 59% back former President Donald Trump. This gap contributes significantly to Trump’s overall lead of 47% to 43%.
Harris’ approval rating among men stands at a dismal 29%, with 59% disapproving of her performance. The data suggests that if “Dudes for Harris” were to convene, they would struggle to find a venue in Georgia, given their minuscule numbers. While the gender gap can work in both directions, Harris only manages to secure 55% of female voters against Trump’s 37%. This support among women, though notable, is insufficient to offset her overall deficits.
In terms of age demographics, Trump performs strongly across the board, leading among nearly all age groups except for those aged 30 to 44, where Harris holds a slight edge. Among younger voters aged 18 to 29, Trump has a narrow 8-point advantage, and he leads by 10 points among those aged 45 to 64. Notably, he enjoys overwhelming support from white voters, garnering 66% compared to Harris’ 28%.
Interestingly, Harris is experiencing a shift in support among black voters, where her lead has diminished since September. Initially enjoying a 77% to 11% advantage, recent polls show her leading by 74% to 8%, with a significant portion of voters now undecided. This trend raises questions about her ability to mobilize essential Democratic constituencies.
Moreover, Harris faces uncertainty within her own party, with 88% of Democrats backing her, but 11% remaining undecided. In contrast, Trump enjoys solid backing from 95% of Republicans, with only 1% supporting Harris. The polling also indicates that Republican VP nominee J.D. Vance is gaining traction in Georgia, with a 41% approval rating, compared to Democrat Tim Walz’s 38%.
Overall, the dynamics of this race suggest that Trump is positioning himself as a formidable contender in Georgia, with 41% of voters believing he is likely to win in November, while only 39% think Harris stands a chance. As the election approaches, Harris’ struggle to bridge the gender gap and rally her base could prove detrimental to her campaign.