What is going on?
A recent poll reveals that over a third of Canadians are open to the idea of three U.S. states—California, Oregon, and Washington—joining Canada. This surprising proposal has generated discussion, particularly in light of the strained relationship between Canada and the U.S. under President Donald Trump’s leadership. Trump’s administration has made it clear that he has no qualms about expressing his desire for closer ties between the two countries, even suggesting that Canada could become the 51st state. While his comments have sparked controversy, many Canadians are questioning whether this is the right path forward.
In January, Elizabeth May, leader of Canada’s Green Party, proposed an alternative. Instead of Canada becoming a part of the U.S., May suggested that California, Oregon, and Washington could become Canadian provinces. These states, with their historically liberal-leaning populations, would benefit from Canada’s universal healthcare system and stricter gun laws, May argued. She even joked that this could be a better deal for both countries. “Hey, Donald, we’ve got a deal for you,” she quipped. “Why not let California, Oregon, and Washington join us as provinces?”
Although the chances of this proposal coming to fruition are slim, the idea has garnered support from 35% of Canadians, according to a recent YouGov poll. Support for the idea was particularly high in British Columbia, which borders Washington State, where 43% of residents expressed interest in the idea. In contrast, support was lower in Quebec, where just 25% were in favor.
Interestingly, Americans are less enthusiastic about the proposal, with only 23% of respondents nationwide backing the idea, including 29% of residents in the three states in question. Despite the lack of a strong majority in support, the proposal isn’t sharply divided along partisan lines in the U.S.; 27% of Biden voters and 26% of Trump supporters showed support.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has firmly rejected the notion of Canada becoming the 51st state, calling it a “nonstarter.” However, he acknowledged the importance of understanding the dynamics at play in U.S.-Canada relations as President Trump continues to push for changes, particularly in trade agreements. Trump himself argued that making Canada a U.S. state would lead to lower taxes and increased security, positioning Canada as an integral part of America’s economy.
While the idea of changing borders remains improbable in the near future, the continued trade tensions, especially surrounding new tariffs on Canadian aluminum and steel, show that relations between the two nations will likely remain tense for the time being.