Could California and the rest of America soon be saying “Goodbye Gavin”? Let’s hope so!
A new poll shows California voters have serious doubts about Governor Gavin Newsom’s future in national politics—and the numbers aren’t pretty.
Despite ongoing speculation and media appearances, including his recent podcast and national TV interviews, most Californians simply don’t want Newsom running for president in 2028.
Voters Push Back Against Newsom’s National Ambitions
According to the latest Emerson College Polling survey—conducted in collaboration with Inside California Politics and The Hill—59% of voters say Newsom should not run for president in the next election cycle. Only 41% think he should launch a campaign.
That’s a troubling sign for a governor who’s often presented as a rising figure in the Democratic Party.
Poll Reveals Deep Political Divide in California
As expected, reactions vary by party:
- 61% of Democrats would support Newsom in 2028.
- A massive 78% of Republicans oppose his run.
- 75% of independent voters also say “no thanks” to a Newsom presidency.
In a state where Democrats dominate the voter rolls, losing the trust of independents and moderates spells political danger for any national ambitions.
Approval Ratings Paint an Even Bleaker Picture
Newsom’s overall approval rating sits at just 33%, with 42% disapproving and 24% remaining neutral. His numbers are slipping fast—he previously enjoyed a more balanced 42%-40% split earlier this year.
Poll analyst Matt Taglia noted, “There’s clearly something driving negative sentiment,” and hinted that economic woes and housing instability are contributing to his fall in favor.
Economic Concerns Are Driving Voter Sentiment
The economy remains the top issue for 40% of California voters, followed by:
- Housing affordability at 24%
- Threats to democracy, immigration, and crime—each at 7%
This aligns with conservative critiques of Democrat-run states, where economic mismanagement and runaway housing costs are making life harder for working families and retirees alike.
Newsom Admits: Democratic Brand Is “Toxic”
In a rare moment of honesty, Newsom recently told Bill Maher that the Democratic brand has become “toxic.”
That’s something many Americans—especially conservatives—have known for years. But voters aren’t convinced that Newsom is the man to fix it. In fact, many see him as part of the problem.
Even Democrats Are Questioning His Motives
Democratic Rep. Jimmy Gomez told Spectrum News that Newsom appears to be focused on “positioning himself” rather than doing what’s best for the party or the country.
“He’s doing what’s in the interest of Gavin Newsom,” Gomez said.
And many voters agree.
Tariff Views Highlight Partisan Divide
The poll also found that:
- 77% of Democrats and 50% of independents view tariffs as a tax on consumers.
- In contrast, 48% of Republicans see tariffs as a tax on foreign countries—a perspective more in line with President Trump’s America First policies.
What’s Next for Newsom and the Democrats?
With Newsom’s term ending in 2026, speculation is growing that former Vice President Kamala Harris may make a play for the governor’s office—or possibly the White House again in 2028.
Either way, the Democratic Party appears fractured, with multiple high-profile figures jockeying for influence while key voter groups grow increasingly disillusioned.
Bottom Line: Newsom’s Presidential Hopes Are Fading
Between low approval ratings, economic discontent, and an electorate that’s had enough of political posturing, Newsom’s path to the presidency looks steeper than ever.
Meanwhile, as President Trump continues to drive a bold agenda and rebuild confidence in American leadership, California’s struggles under progressive rule serve as a cautionary tale for voters nationwide.