Here are the facts.
New national polls released following America’s 250th Independence Day celebration show President Donald Trump’s approval rating remaining below 50 percent, even as support among Republican voters continues to hold steady.
Six major surveys conducted in late June and early July found Trump’s approval ranging from 35 percent to 43 percent, while disapproval consistently remained above 50 percent. Although some pollsters reported modest gains among independent voters, the overall numbers suggest public opinion has remained largely unchanged heading into the second half of the year.
The White House has dismissed the polling as an incomplete measure of the administration’s performance.
“No other president in history has accomplished more for the American people than President Trump, who is working tirelessly to create jobs, cool inflation, increase housing affordability, and more,” White House spokesman Davis Ingle said in a statement to Newsweek.
Ingle added that the administration has already made “historic progress” and argued that its agenda is continuing to gain momentum.
Latest Trump Approval Polls
The newest national surveys all tell a similar story, despite differences in methodology.
- I&I/TIPP: 38% approve, 54% disapprove
- Big Data Poll: About 43% approve, 53% disapprove
- HarrisX (2WAY): 43% approve, 54% disapprove
- Economist/YouGov: 35% approve, 61% disapprove
- Quantus Insights: 43.4% approve, 54.5% disapprove
- Focaldata: Net approval of negative 23, with 57% disapproval
While the exact numbers vary slightly, every survey placed Trump’s approval below a majority and his disapproval above 50 percent.
Why These Polls Matter
Presidential approval ratings are often viewed as an important measure of the political climate heading into congressional elections. While approval numbers alone do not determine election outcomes, they can offer insight into voter sentiment and broader political trends.
With the 2026 midterm elections approaching, both Republicans and Democrats are watching national polling closely. Independent voters, in particular, are expected to play a major role in determining the outcome of competitive House and Senate races.
I&I/TIPP Poll Finds Limited Movement
The I&I/TIPP survey, conducted from June 29 through July 2 among 1,473 adults, reported a margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.
The poll found 38 percent approval and 54 percent disapproval, leaving Trump 16 points below water overall.
Despite the overall numbers remaining relatively stable, Republican approval increased from 71 percent to 75 percent compared with the previous survey. Support among independents also rose slightly, climbing from 24 percent to 27 percent. Democratic disapproval reached 86 percent.
Big Data Poll Suggests Slight Improvement
The Big Data Poll, conducted between June 26 and June 28 among nearly 3,000 registered voters, placed Trump’s approval at approximately 43 percent while disapproval stood just above 53 percent.
Poll Director Rich Baris said recent international developments may have contributed to a modest improvement in public opinion.
“The war was never popular and voters have been frustrated over what they perceive to be a lack of focus on domestic issues,” Baris said.
He added that recent polling painted a somewhat brighter picture for both President Trump and congressional Republicans but cautioned that future political fortunes could depend on continued stability overseas, particularly regarding Iran.
HarrisX Shows Strong Republican Support
The HarrisX (2WAY) survey, conducted July 6-7 among 1,008 registered voters, found Trump’s approval rating at 43 percent and his disapproval rating at 54 percent.
Support remained highly divided along partisan lines.
Among Republicans, 82 percent approved of the president’s job performance, while only 12 percent of Democrats expressed approval. Independent voters registered 32 percent approval.
Support climbed to 93 percent among self-identified MAGA voters, underscoring Trump’s continued strength within his core political base.
Economist/YouGov Records Lowest Approval
Among the surveys released, the Economist/YouGov poll produced the weakest numbers for the president.
Conducted between July 3 and July 6 among 1,603 adult U.S. citizens, the poll found 35 percent approval and 61 percent disapproval.
The survey also showed a majority of respondents expressing strong disapproval, indicating that many voters hold firmly established opinions about the president’s performance.
Quantus Insights Points to Continued Challenges
Quantus Insights surveyed 1,140 likely voters during early July and reported 43.3 percent approval compared with 54.5 percent disapproval.
The poll also found that 51.2 percent strongly disapproved of Trump’s performance, while 39.6 percent strongly approved.
In addition, more than six in ten respondents said they believe the country is headed in the wrong direction, another closely watched measure of public sentiment.
Focaldata Finds Similar Trend
A separate survey conducted by Focaldata between June 26 and June 30 reached similar conclusions.
Based on responses from more than 2,000 adults nationwide, the poll placed Trump’s net approval rating at negative 23 while finding that 57 percent of respondents disapproved of his job performance.
Researchers also noted that Trump’s disapproval rating has gradually increased over the past four months, suggesting public opinion has remained challenging despite shifts in other areas.
What Could Influence Future Polls?
Political analysts expect several major issues to shape future approval ratings, including inflation, the economy, border security, foreign policy, and international events.
Some pollsters believe geopolitical developments, particularly involving Iran, have already influenced public opinion to a limited extent. Others say economic conditions are likely to remain the biggest factor affecting voters in the months ahead.
Although support among Republican voters remains strong, Trump’s overall approval rating continues to trail his disapproval in most national surveys. Whether that changes before the 2026 midterm elections could depend on economic performance, legislative accomplishments, and shifting opinions among independent voters.
As both parties prepare for next year’s campaign season, future polling will offer a clearer picture of whether the national political environment begins to shift or remains largely unchanged.