Americans are fed up with Biden’s poor leadership.
In recent polls conducted by The New York Times and Siena College, it has been found that former President Donald Trump currently holds a lead over President Joe Biden in five out of six crucial battleground states, all of which were won by Biden in the 2020 election. The average support for Trump stands at 48%, while Biden lags behind with 44%.
The decline in Biden’s numbers can be attributed to several factors, including concerns about his age and dissatisfaction with his handling of the economy and other significant issues, as reported by The New York Times.
According to Newsmax, the poll results indicate that Trump is ahead of Biden, who is considered his most likely Republican challenger, by margins ranging from three to ten percentage points among registered voters in Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Georgia, and Nevada. The only exception was Wisconsin, where Biden maintained a slim two-percentage-point lead. It’s worth noting that the margin of error for the combined states was 1.8 percentage points, while individual states had margins of error between 4.4 and 4.8 percentage points.
The survey, conducted from October 22 to November 3 with 3,662 registered voters, revealed the following results in terms of voter support:
- Nevada: Trump, 52%; Biden, 41%.
- Georgia: Trump, 49%; Biden, 43%.
- Arizona: Trump, 49%; Biden, 44%.
- Michigan: Trump, 48%; Biden, 43%.
- Pennsylvania: Trump, 48%; Biden, 44%.
- Wisconsin: Biden, 47%; Trump, 45%.
In terms of demographics, men showed a strong preference for Trump (62% to 33%), while women narrowly favored Biden (47% to 46%). A majority of voters in the poll expressed that Biden’s policies have adversely affected them, and the coalition that led to his victory in 2020 appears to be fracturing. Additionally, two-thirds of the electorate believes that the United States is heading in the wrong direction under President Biden.
The poll also indicated that voters under 30 favored Biden by only one percentage point, and his lead with Hispanic voters was in the single digits. Biden’s advantage in urban areas was also significantly smaller than Trump’s in rural areas. While women still leaned toward Biden, men showed a much stronger preference for Trump.
An interesting shift was observed among Black voters, with 22% showing support for Trump in these battleground states, a level not seen for a Republican presidential candidate in recent years. Biden’s sole lead was in Wisconsin, which is the whitest among the polled states.
Despite Trump’s lead in the poll, both he and Biden remained widely unpopular with voters. Interestingly, most voters attributed the belief that the nation is on the wrong track to Biden rather than Trump.
With the presidential election a year away, there is an opportunity for Biden to improve his numbers. His advisers have pointed to the Democrats’ relatively limited losses in the 2022 midterm elections, despite his low approval ratings. However, if these poll numbers persist, Trump may secure more than 300 Electoral College votes, surpassing the 270 needed for a return to the White House.
Across all income levels, voters indicated that they believe Biden’s policies have harmed them while Trump’s have benefited them. A significant 71% of voters, spanning different demographics and states, expressed the view that Biden, who will turn 81 later this month, is “too old” to be an effective president. Surprisingly, 54% of Biden’s supporters also held this opinion. In contrast, only 19% of Trump’s supporters believed he was too old, and 39% of all respondents agreed with this perspective. Furthermore, 62% of the poll respondents expressed doubt about Biden’s “mental sharpness” to be an effective president.
In terms of economic trust, 59% of respondents placed more confidence in Trump, while only 37% did so for Biden. This discrepancy is significant, especially since twice as many voters cited economic issues as the determining factor for their 2024 election vote compared to those who cited social issues like abortion or guns. Among those who prioritize the economy, Trump led by 60% to 32%. Additionally, only 2% of voters deemed the economy to be excellent, and none of the respondents under the age of 30 in Arizona, Nevada, and Wisconsin held this opinion.
In other key areas such as immigration, national security, and the Israel-Palestine conflict, voters overwhelmingly favored Trump over Biden.