Kamala won’t be happy about this!
In Georgia, voters are weighing their options as a recent poll indicates a potential shift back toward Donald Trump, which could secure him 16 crucial electoral votes. This comes after Trump narrowly lost the state in 2020, despite having won it in 2016.
According to the latest survey released by the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, conducted by the University of Georgia, Trump leads Kamala Harris with 47% support compared to her 44%, while 7% of those surveyed remain undecided. The margin of error is just ±3.1%, meaning this lead is statistically significant. If these trends hold, we are unlikely to see a repeat of the contentious aftermath of the 2020 election, where Trump sought to contest the results.
Despite some fluctuations in polling throughout this election cycle, the AJC survey suggests that many voters have settled on their choices. Notably, fewer than 3% of committed voters indicate they might change their minds as the election draws near. In a previous poll, Trump had a stronger lead over Joe Biden at 51% to 46%, and even when matched against Harris, he maintained that advantage.
Harris faces challenges in consolidating her support, especially among key demographics. She holds only 86% backing from Democrats and 77% from black voters—an area where she has actively campaigned, even hosting a rally in Atlanta with rapper Megan Thee Stallion. Despite her efforts, 12% of black voters remain undecided, hinting that Trump’s outreach may be resonating.
Additionally, the political landscape in Georgia has shifted, with Trump recently mending fences with Republican Governor Brian Kemp. This consolidation has led to over 90% of GOP registrants supporting him, along with substantial backing among white voters and a majority of senior citizens.
However, it’s worth noting that some voters still predict a Democratic win, with 48% of respondents believing Harris will emerge victorious. This includes 14% of Republicans, indicating a divided perspective even among Trump’s base. The RealClearPolitics average shows a tightly contested race, with Trump ahead by a narrow margin of 0.2%, though it does not incorporate this latest poll.
As the campaign approaches its final weeks, it will be critical for both candidates to engage with undecided voters, particularly within the black community, to secure a decisive victory in this battleground state.