A new nationwide poll is raising serious questions about the political battle ahead as President Donald Trump faces sharply divided approval ratings across America heading into the critical 2026 midterm elections.
The survey, released over Memorial Day weekend, shows Trump still dominating in many conservative strongholds while facing fierce opposition in Democrat-controlled states. The numbers highlight just how politically divided the country remains during Trump’s second term in the White House.
Despite relentless attacks from the media and Democrats, many Republicans argue the president’s support remains remarkably resilient where it matters most — especially in working-class and conservative states that powered his massive 2024 victory.
The new polling from Civiqs was based on more than 106,000 responses gathered between January 20, 2025, and May 23, 2026.
According to the data, Trump currently holds positive approval ratings in 14 states while 36 states show more disapproval than approval. Still, conservatives have repeatedly warned that national polling often underestimates Trump’s real-world support, something seen in multiple election cycles.
Trump Still Dominates In Conservative America
The president’s strongest support remains concentrated in deeply Republican states that continue backing his America First agenda on border security, energy independence, military strength, and the economy.
Wyoming delivered Trump his best approval rating in the nation with a net positive score of +26 points.
North Dakota followed closely behind at +17, while West Virginia posted a strong +16 rating.
Other solid Republican states including Idaho, Alabama, and South Dakota also gave the president strong marks, showing that Trump’s core voter base remains highly loyal despite nonstop political attacks from Washington and the corporate media.
Across much of the South and rural America, many voters still credit Trump for fighting illegal immigration, pushing American energy production, rebuilding the military, and challenging what conservatives see as a corrupt political establishment.
For many older conservative voters, Trump continues to represent a direct challenge to the policies pushed by Democrats during previous administrations.
Deep Blue States Continue Massive Opposition
At the same time, heavily Democrat-controlled states remain firmly opposed to Trump and his policies.
Hawaii recorded Trump’s weakest approval rating at -61 points, followed by Vermont at -57 and Maryland at -50.
California and Massachusetts also ranked among the states with the strongest anti-Trump sentiment.
Political observers say the divide between red states and blue states has now become deeper than at almost any point in modern American history.
While Republican voters focus heavily on inflation, crime, immigration, and national security, Democrat voters continue prioritizing climate policy, abortion access, and expanded federal programs.
The result is a political map that increasingly looks like two completely different Americas.
Why The 2026 Midterms Could Change Everything
The timing of these numbers is especially important because the 2026 midterm elections are rapidly approaching.
Historically, the party that controls the White House often loses congressional seats during midterm elections. Republicans experienced that firsthand during Trump’s first term when Democrats regained control of the House in 2018.
Now, Democrats are hoping history repeats itself.
However, Republicans believe concerns over border security, rising global instability, government spending, and economic uncertainty could drive strong conservative turnout next year.
Because Republicans currently hold only narrow majorities in Congress, even a small shift in a handful of races could dramatically impact Trump’s ability to move his agenda forward during the final years of his presidency.
Control of the House and Senate could ultimately determine the future of tax cuts, immigration reform, energy policy, military spending, and judicial appointments.
Other Polls Deliver More Bad News For Trump
The Civiqs survey is only the latest in a string of polls showing political challenges for the president.
A recent New York Times/Siena College poll reportedly found Trump’s disapproval rating reaching 59 percent nationally.
Meanwhile, a CNN survey released earlier this month claimed Trump’s disapproval rating climbed to 66 percent — one of the highest levels recorded during either of his terms in office.
The CNN poll surveyed more than 1,500 registered voters between May 11 and May 15.
Still, many conservatives remain deeply skeptical of major media polling organizations after years of inaccurate predictions and failed election forecasts.
Trump supporters continue pointing to his overwhelming 2024 victory as proof that establishment polling often misses the intensity of Republican voter enthusiasm.
Trump Fires Back On Memorial Day
President Trump also grabbed headlines Monday morning after posting a pair of fiery Memorial Day messages on Truth Social.
In one post, Trump honored fallen American service members while also taking aim at Democrats.
“Happy Memorial Day to all, including the Dumocrats, who disrespect our Military and all of the tremendous success that it has had over the last year,” Trump wrote.
In a second message, the president mocked Democratic leadership and criticized the party’s policies and candidates.
The comments immediately sparked backlash from critics while energizing many of Trump’s supporters online.
White House Pushes Back Against Polling Narrative
The White House has largely dismissed the recent polling wave.
Earlier this year, spokesman Davis Ingle defended the president by pointing to the outcome of the 2024 election.
Ingle argued that the most important measure of public support came on November 5, 2024, when close to 80 million Americans voted to return President Trump to the White House and back what he described as the president’s widely supported, common-sense policies.
As the 2026 midterms draw closer, both parties are preparing for what could become one of the most intense political fights in modern American history.