Sorting by

×

Schiff To Lose Senate Race?

Advertisements

Let’s pray none of us have to call this bozo Senator Schiff.

In the latest polling data released on Friday, it’s evident that the race for California’s nonpartisan Senate primary is heating up, with Democratic Representative Adam Schiff and Republican contender Steve Garvey locked in a close battle. According to the survey conducted by the Institute of Governmental Studies (IGS) at the University of California, Berkeley, Garvey holds a slight edge with 27 percent support, while Schiff trails closely behind at 25 percent.

The competition doesn’t stop there. Democratic Representative Katie Porter follows with 19 percent, while Representative Barbara Lee lags behind at a mere 8 percent. The significance of this primary lies in California’s unique nonpartisan system, where the two candidates with the highest votes advance to the runoff in November, irrespective of party affiliation. This election aims to fill the vacancy left by the late Senator Dianne Feinstein, currently occupied by interim Senator Laphonza Butler.

Schiff, who has maintained a lead in previous polls, appears to be acknowledging Garvey’s rise, possibly due to his preference for a Democrat-Republican showdown, which might tilt in his favor. The Berkeley IGS poll highlights a substantial surge in support for Garvey in recent weeks, particularly in the race for the partial term on the ballot.

Advertisements

In this partial-term contest, Garvey takes the lead with 29 percent, followed by Schiff at 23 percent and Porter at 20 percent. This shift in dynamics could be attributed to fewer Republican contenders in the partial-term race compared to the full-term contest, as indicated by the poll.

Interestingly, the primary is witnessing notably low turnout, especially among younger voters, with the majority of ballots cast by individuals aged 50 or above. Garvey seems to benefit from this scenario, as he garners significant support among Republicans and older demographics, alongside Schiff.

The poll, conducted between February 22nd and 27th among 6,536 registered California voters, with 3,304 likely voters, provides a snapshot of the current political landscape. With an estimated sampling error of around plus or minus 2 percentage points, these findings underscore the fierce competition and shifting dynamics in California’s nonpartisan Senate primary as the state gears up for the consequential Super Tuesday.